INDICATOR — CONTEXT
Attention / CT Heat CONTEXT ONLY · NO MEASURED EDGE
This board shows where the crowd is right now — which coins are pulling unusual volume and search interest. It is the one board on this hub that makes no forecast, and we publish it saying so.
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Regime is risk-ON. Attention still forecasts nothing; read it for what you are walking into.
Attention — where the crowd is (live)
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Attention volume + search interestrVol volume vs its own 30d averageCT trending on crypto Twitterno measured edge — context only
How to read a row. A high attention score says the crowd is here — more volume, more search, wider dispersion and slightly deeper drawdowns. It does not say the coin will rise: the measured information coefficient is about zero. Use it to know what you are walking into, not to decide.
What the backtest showed
- The information coefficient is about zero and the board was right 39% of the time. As a predictor it does not work, and no amount of framing changes that.
- High attention did come with wider dispersion and slightly deeper drawdowns — the crowd adds volatility, not direction.
- There is no clean split between coins that went on to do well and coins that turned out toxic. Attention does not separate them.
- The archive test used a volume proxy; the live board adds CoinGecko search interest on top, and that addition has not been tested.
Where it breaks: everywhere, if you read it as a forecast. It is published because a desk that hides the boards which did not work is showing you a filtered record.
How to use it: as the last check before acting on some other signal, to know whether you are stepping into a crowded trade. Never as the reason for the trade.