+First time on the top traders desk?
The desk runs its own numbers and publishes its calls next to the account that trades them. The short route:
How to actually use the desk's indicators and algorithms
On its own, each indicator shows you half the picture. This page puts them together in plain words: when to buy, when to get out, and which readings deserve your trust. No jargon, only what 6 years of history actually showed. The last section covers the desk's algorithms. The same rules, run by code, with their measured record.
The rule above all others: look at the weather first
The Market Regime indicator is the traffic light for the whole market. Green means money is coming in and most coins are rising. Red means money is leaving and most coins are falling.
The traffic light decides how much money you keep in the market, not which coin you pick. Green means you may look for entries. Red means protect the account and open no longs.
The 10 working tools, in plain words
| Tool? | What it is? | What it tells you? | How to read it? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Regime | The traffic light for the whole market. It counts where money is going and how many coins hold above their own trend. | Whether the market as a whole is doing well or badly right now. | Green means you may look for buys. Red means close longs and open no new ones. |
| Market Screener | The list of coins people are really trading right now: a clear price move and volume above the usual level. | Which names are worth a second look at all. | This is the first pass, not an order to buy. A name from here goes on to the checks below. |
| Breakout Radar | Coins that have come up to their own highs on heavy volume. | Which names have a live move going. | Treat it as a shortlist. Buying on this alone is not enough, because the traffic light comes first. |
| Relative Strength | Compares a coin with the whole market: is it rising faster than the market or falling behind. | Who is leading the market and who is being dragged along. | Take the leaders only when the traffic light is green. In a red market, leadership pays nothing. |
| Attention | Counts which coins people write about most on X right now. | What the crowd is talking about at this moment. | If everyone is already shouting about a coin, you are buying it expensive. It predicts nothing about the future. |
| Toxicity | Finds coins that have run up too fast and too far from their normal price. | Which names are dangerous to chase. | Do not chase a coin like that. Cut the size or skip it, and never short it on this reading alone. |
| Funding Stress | How much borrowed money the market as a whole has taken on. Measured across the largest coins. | How many people are already sitting in the same trade. | Hot means cut your position size. On its own it is never a reason to short. |
| Funding Rate | The fee that perp holders pay each other. The chart shows the middle of the market. | How expensive it is to hold leverage right now. | A high fee means the crowd is already in and you are late. It says nothing about direction. |
| Whale Accumulation | Counts how the holdings of known large owners changed over the last 24 hours. | Whether large owners are buying more or selling. | Buying backs up your own idea. Buying alone is not enough to enter. |
| Cross-chain Flow | Looks at how much money is parked in each network, and how that sum changed over 7 days. | Which network money is flowing into, and which one it is leaving. | Money arrives in a network before its coins rise. This is background, not an order to buy. |
How to read a row → Market Regime is the traffic light for the whole market. A green reading means you may look for buys. A red reading means you protect the account and take no longs. Look at it before anything else.
Why one tool alone is not enough
A breakout on its own settles almost nothing. Across 6 years, a coin that broke out went up about 49% of the time. That is a coin flip. Split the same cases by the traffic light, though, and the gap is huge:
Breakout in a GREEN market
up 54% of the time, and the average gain is much bigger
Breakout in a RED market
up only 33% of the time, and negative on average
The same rule, the opposite outcome. The weather is what makes the difference, and that is why the traffic light is the first item on the list.
The funding myth. "The fee for leverage is off the charts, so short the top" sounds clever and works backwards. Historically, when longs were most crowded, price kept going up, not down. A high fee tells you the trade is late, not that it is about to turn. Use it to cut your size, never as a reason to bet against the trend.
The 10-tool entry checklist (buying)
- Market Regime is green. If it is red, do nothing. That is a ban, not a suggestion.
- Market Screener has narrowed the market to liquid names with unusual volume. This is the first pass, and you cannot buy on it alone.
- Breakout Radar found a live move on real volume, not a random ticker.
- Relative Strength confirms the name is rising faster than the market.
- Attention shows how many people are already in the story. This is not a ban, it is a warning about the price you will pay.
- Toxicity has not flagged it. Do not chase a near-vertical run-up just because the move looks strong.
- Funding Stress is not extreme, so the market is not yet packed with borrowed money.
- Funding Rate for this coin is not extreme. That says something about the crowd, never about direction.
- Whale Accumulation shows large owners buying. Useful backing, but not a reason to enter by itself.
- Cross-chain Flow is positive for this coin's network. Useful backing, not required.
All 10 agree, so you take a full position. No confirmation on #9 or #10, so you take a smaller one. The regime, the screening and the Toxicity check are never skipped. Daily Read does the same work for you: it folds 7 coin-level inputs around one market-regime filter.
Getting out, and stops
- The weather turns red. Market Regime drops back below zero, which means money is leaving the market. This is your main exit: cut or close longs across the whole book.
- Every trade carries a stop. Most breakouts do not work. The money comes from the few that run far, and the stop is what lets those winners pay for the string of small losses.
- The trade gets crowded while you are up. The fee for leverage jumps to an extreme on a position that is in profit, so take part of it off. The crowd has caught up, and a sharp move against it becomes more likely.
- A month passes and nothing happens. All of these rules are measured over roughly 30 days. If there is no follow-through by then, the idea did not play out. Close it and move on.
What to trust, what to ignore
We tested dozens of rules across a full market cycle and published the failures as well. They live in the lab. The short version:
Trust these (they back you up)
- The market traffic light (Market Regime)
- How high the fee for leverage is
- How far that fee has spread apart between coins
- How hard the market has been swinging lately
Ignore these (we tested them, they are noise)
- Bare price growth on its own
- A volume spike on a single day
- A coin's rank in the leverage-fee table
- The sign of that fee used as a reason to buy or sell
The rule for adding them up: the more readings agree, the bigger the position. One extra green light lets you size up. It does not let you skip the checklist, and it does not let you buy in a red market.
The desk's algorithms: the same rules, run by code
The checklist above is the manual path. The algorithms below do the same work mechanically. Each one publishes its rules in full and a backtest with its checks. A losing result is published in the same detail as a winning one.
| Family | Variants | Bar | What it does | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donchian | 35 | 1d / 1h / 4h | Buys when price leaves the top of its own price channel. The variants differ by the extra checks they add: volume, how the coin moves with the market, the market traffic light, and gaps left on the chart. | lab 32 · candidate 3 |
| Cross-Lab | 10 | 1d / 4h | Rules from cross-lab v2 that the desk owner started by hand. They did not pass the lab's own selection, and each one names the check it failed in its status. | lab 10 |
| HyperGrass | 3 | 1d | Holds a basket of the strongest coins on Hyperliquid and rebuilds it on a schedule. The product publishes which share of the account each coin should take. | published 2 · candidate |
| Breakout Radar | 1 | 1d | The breakout radar read strictly: the coin sits near its yearly high, volume is above its usual level and the trend is strong. The exit rule has not been measured yet. | lab |
| Daily Read | 1 | 1h | The desk's daily call, run by code instead of by hand. It trades what the Daily Read says and keeps its own trade log. | published |
| HyperDelta | 1 | 4h | Compares perps against each other, buys the strong ones and sells the weak ones, with longs and shorts in equal money. The desk re-measured it and did not confirm the source's claim. | lab |
| SMC | 1 | 1d | Enters after the market breaks its own structure: price takes out the previous high or low and then comes back to that level. | candidate |
| SMC v2 | 1 | 1d | Enters when price comes back into an unfilled gap on the chart, the one the TT Smart Money study marks. The stop sits beyond the edge of that zone. | candidate |
| TradFi Breakout | 1 | 1d | Buys a breakout on tokenized shares that trade around the clock on Hyperliquid. | candidate |
Counted from the spec catalogue at build time; the cards live on the Algo hub.
- The verdict sits above the first good number. A losing run is published with the same care as a winning one.
- 6 passport tiles: total return, annual return, drawdown, sharpe, number of trades, share of winners.
- The checks are mandatory: names shuffled across 200 random runs, a random entry in place of the rule, and the same random entry inside the market phase the algorithm was built for.
Honest limits (read this)
- These are historical tendencies, not promises. The advantage is small and only shows up across many trades. On any single trade you cannot trust it.
- The exact percentages are noisier than they look, because the measurement windows overlap. Trust the direction: green beats red, early beats late, rather than the precise number.
- Coins that died and left the exchange are not in the sample. Real life is therefore a little worse than the backtest, and worst of all in a red market.
Indicators and playbook are purely for informational purposes only. They are not intended to and should not be interpreted as investment or financial advice.